WN 2885 · LAS → STL

departs 12:16 PM PT · arrives 5:34 PM CT

Your aircraft is N214WN (B737), coming in as WN 745 from RDU: in the air, landing about 11:14 AM PT, 55 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2885 · LAS → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?