WN 2896 · MCI → DEN

departs 9:52 AM CT · arrives 10:41 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2896 · MCI → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?