WN 3010 · MDW → RSW

departs 6:42 AM CT · arrives 10:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MDW are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.06 in

RSW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3010 · MDW → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?