WN 3161 · MSY → HOU

departs 3:21 PM CT · arrives 4:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3161 · MSY → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?