WN 3375 · PHL → STL

took off 6:14 AM ET · expected to land 7:04 AM CT (scheduled 5:56 AM ET → 7:17 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3375 · PHL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?