WN 4087 · SNA → SJC

took off 1:03 PM PT · expected to land 1:59 PM PT (scheduled 1:03 PM PT → 2:34 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from SNA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4087 · SNA → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?