WN 4707 · SLC → BNA

took off 12:52 PM MT · expected to land 4:41 PM CT (scheduled 12:07 PM MT → 4:33 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at BNA that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4707 · SLC → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?