WN 4963 · PHX → MDW

departs 1:32 AM MT · arrives 5:55 AM CT

Your aircraft is N923WN (B737), coming in as WN 1415 from SMF: landed 10:48 PM MT.

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ 1am departures from PHX are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4963 · PHX → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?