WN 512 · LAX → DEN

departs 1:42 PM PT · arrives 5:00 PM MT

Your aircraft is N225WN (B737), coming in as WN 512 from LAS: still at LAS, due off about 12:07 PM PT, 44 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 512 · LAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?