WN 642 · BUR → SFO

departs 8:01 AM PT · arrives 9:27 AM PT

Your aircraft is N242WN (B737).

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
36%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 642 · BUR → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?