WN 733 · DAL → AUS

departs 8:04 AM CT · arrives 9:13 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.55 in

AUS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 733 · DAL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?