WN 839 · AUS → ONT

departs 11:41 AM CT · arrives 12:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.35 in

ONT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 839 · AUS → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?