WN 920 · OMA → LGA

departs 12:02 PM CT · arrives 4:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.86 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 920 · OMA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?