YX 4388 · LGA → CLE

took off 12:20 PM ET · landed 1:30 PM ET (scheduled 11:40 AM ET → 1:29 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4388 · LGA → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?