Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7397 LANDED 6:06 AM -05, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 4 Today

2K 7397 · JFK → UIO

took off 12:21 AM ET · landed 6:06 AM -05 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at UIO more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ 12am departures from JFK are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

UIO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

2K 7397 · JFK → UIO

Odds over time