tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 28, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2103 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AA 2103 · DFW → PHX

departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:28 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 137h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±21 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.