AA 2718 · AVL → DFW

departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 6:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.49 in

DFW (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2718 · AVL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?