Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3001 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:38 AM CT, ETA 1:08 PM ET)
Today

AA 3001 · ORD → TPA

took off 9:38 AM CT · expected to land 1:08 PM ET (scheduled 8:59 AM CT → 12:49 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
82% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    18%
  2. 15–30 min late
    54%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    28%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.