tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 823 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:18 AM ET, ETA 1:28 PM AST)
Today

AA 823 · PHL → SDQ

took off 9:18 AM ET · expected to land 1:28 PM AST (scheduled 8:50 AM ET → 1:38 PM AST)
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
4% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SDQ?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    96%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.