MQ 3364 · DTW → ORD

departs 1:32 PM ET · arrives 1:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.33 in

ORD (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3364 · DTW → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?