MQ 3549 · ORD → FWA

departs 8:50 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at FWA that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

FWA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3549 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?