Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 28, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4644
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 4
OO 4644 · ORD → DTW
departs 2:29 PM CT · arrives 4:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Tue 11/3 28%
Wed 11/4
Fri 11/6 26%
Sat 11/7 28%
Sun 11/8 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
No breakdown for this forecast yet.
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.20 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.