Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 28, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 4
OO 5282 · ORD → LEX
departs 3:01 PM CT · arrives 5:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 11/3 39%
Wed 11/4
Fri 11/6 29%
Sat 11/7 28%
Sun 11/8 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
No breakdown for this forecast yet.
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.20 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.