UA 2027 · MCO → EWR

departs 1:05 PM ET · arrives 3:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2027 · MCO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?