WN 2237 · BNA → ECP

departs 8:06 AM CT · arrives 9:37 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 2.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,067 ft forecast at ECP that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.27 in

ECP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,067 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2237 · BNA → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?