WN 477 · MDW → MCI

departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 6:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.17 in

MCI (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling971 ft Visibility8.71429 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 477 · MDW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?