Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 3001 LANDED 10:43 AM ET, ~23 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 5 Today

9K 3001 · MVY → BOS

took off 10:05 AM ET · landed 10:43 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MVY

↓ MVY is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

MVY (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.03 in

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,733 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 3001 · MVY → BOS

Odds over time