Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 423 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:25 AM ET, ETA 11:54 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 5 Today

9K 423 · BOS → MVY

took off 11:25 AM ET · expected to land 11:54 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MVY more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ MVY usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into MVY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,633 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precipnone

MVY (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 423 · BOS → MVY

Odds over time