Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 394 LANDED 11:45 AM ET, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 5 Today

9X 394 · BFD → IAD

took off 10:20 AM ET · landed 11:45 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BFD

↓ 10am departures from BFD are usually not late

↓ 9X's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BFD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,133 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 394 · BFD → IAD

Odds over time