Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1245
SCHEDULED
Thursday, November 5 Today
AA 1245 · ORD → CHS
departs 8:56 PM CT · arrives 12:17 AM ET
Your aircraft is N952AA (B738), coming in as AA 2245 from SMF: still at SMF, due off about 2:38 PM PT, 11 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/8 39%
Mon 11/9 40%
Tue 11/10 36%
Wed 11/11 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
88%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
88%
Leave 15+ late
99%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
24h
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 64 min after the scheduled departure, about 39 min late from the gate after a typical 25-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 37%.
−1 pt
88%
Yes 88%
No 12%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 64 min after the scheduled departure, about 39 min late from the gate after a typical 25-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 57%.
+0 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 64 min after the scheduled departure, about 39 min late from the gate after a typical 25-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 8%.
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
AA's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,720 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
CHS (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.