AA 1571 · DFW → MDT

departs 6:37 PM CT · arrives 10:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDT?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1571 · DFW → MDT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDT?