AA 1873 · FLL → LGA

took off 12:10 PM ET · landed 2:42 PM ET (scheduled 11:50 AM ET → 2:44 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.37 in

LGA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,920 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1873 · FLL → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?