AA 2432 · IND → ORD

departs 5:32 AM ET · arrives 5:52 AM CT

Your aircraft is N742PS (A319), coming in as AA 2805 from ORD: landed 12:59 AM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from IND are usually not late

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,268 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

ORD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,720 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2432 · IND → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?