AA 2456 · DFW → SAT

departs 9:37 AM CT · arrives 10:53 AM CT

Your aircraft is N772XF (A319), coming in as AA 2521 from YYC: landed 10:20 AM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2456 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?