AA 519 · ORD → PDX

took off 6:37 PM CT · landed 8:27 PM PT (scheduled 5:02 PM CT → 7:30 PM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PDX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,775 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

PDX (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling10,113 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 519 · ORD → PDX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PDX?