AA 850 · SAT → DFW

departs 7:02 PM CT · arrives 8:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 850 · SAT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?