AA 952 · LGA → DFW

departs 10:20 AM ET · arrives 12:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 952 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?