Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 7254 LANDED 5:35 AM -05, ~4 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 5 Today

AC 7254 · ATL → UIO

took off 12:54 AM ET · landed 5:35 AM -05 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at UIO more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at UIO

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

UIO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 7254 · ATL → UIO

Odds over time