AS 71 · PHX → ANC

took off 7:58 PM MT · landed 11:34 PM AKT (scheduled 5:58 PM MT → 9:34 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ANC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,189 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 71 · PHX → ANC

Odds over time

How late did it get to ANC?