C5 4905 · HSV → IAH

took off 3:18 PM CT · landed 4:59 PM CT (scheduled 2:49 PM CT → 4:51 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 2pm departures from HSV are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ C5's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling7,008 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

IAH (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4905 · HSV → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?