DL 2792 · SLC → SMF

took off 3:39 PM MT · landed 3:58 PM PT (scheduled 3:18 PM MT → 4:05 PM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SMF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SMF at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SMF (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling10,113 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2792 · SLC → SMF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SMF?