MQ 3577 · ORD → COU

took off 9:27 PM CT · landed 10:24 PM CT (scheduled 8:41 PM CT → 10:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to COU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at COU

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,775 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

COU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,481 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3577 · ORD → COU

Odds over time

How late did it get to COU?