MQ 3615 · SGF → DFW

departs 8:26 AM CT · arrives 9:54 AM CT

Your aircraft is N275NN (E170), coming in as MQ 9868 from DFW: landed 8:19 AM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ 8am departures from SGF are usually not late

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling8,589 ft Visibility8.73684 mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3615 · SGF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?