MQ 3872 · DFW → CLL

departs 11:54 AM CT · arrives 12:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLL?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLL

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3872 · DFW → CLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLL?