MQ 3922 · FWA → DFW

took off 6:35 PM ET · landed 8:11 PM CT (scheduled 6:19 PM ET → 7:53 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from FWA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FWA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,762 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3922 · FWA → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?