OH 5017 · PHL → BHM

took off 11:06 AM ET · landed 11:58 AM CT (scheduled 10:35 AM ET → 12:03 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±4 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BHM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

BHM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,378 ft Visibility8.90244 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5017 · PHL → BHM

Odds over time

How late did it get to BHM?