OH 5362 · CAK → ORD

departs 4:46 PM ET · arrives 5:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ORD that day

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ CAK is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

CAK (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.06 in

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5362 · CAK → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?