OO 3217 · PDX → SEA

took off 11:33 AM PT · landed 12:11 PM PT (scheduled 10:40 AM PT → 11:45 AM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling10,240 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3217 · PDX → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?