Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 5
OO 3460 · SEA → BLI
departs 11:01 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5
Fri 11/6 22%
Sat 11/7 11%
Sun 11/8 13%
Mon 11/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at BLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLI?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Arrivals into BLI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BLI (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.