Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5025
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 5
OO 5025 · IAD → MGW
departs 10:34 PM ET · arrives 11:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5
Fri 11/6 17%
Sat 11/7 19%
Sun 11/8 14%
Mon 11/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MGW more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MGW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MGW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MGW?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
10pm departures from IAD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
MGW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.10 in
MGW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.